Posts

2025: The End of the Human Polymath

Born in 1976, I was just early enough to taste pre-internet life. In grade school, on a dial-up 1200baud modem and IBM PC, I was ahead of the curve in actually connecting to primordial pieces of the internet, though they didn’t have a lot of utility outside of academic collaboration. I grew up with a physical encyclopedia at home – the 22 volumes of the 1987 World Book Encyclopedia took up more than 3 feet of shelf space. I wondered how they decided what to include in those books, because I was mostly frustrated to find my subjects of interest barely grazed, if covered at all. In the mid-1990s Microsoft published a DVD to make the printed encyclopedia obsolete: Encarta, which somehow offered even less information but more data because it had “multimedia” – the buzzword for sound, video, and primitively interactive content.1

So what did a curious young mind do back then? There were so many more questions than answers. For a typical How or Why question, your local library might have a book containing an answer, but you’d have to physically visit the library, search their card catalog for books covering the subject, and then physically find potential matches on the shelves and thumb through each to see if it actually provided the details sought. You couldn’t reach out to experts because even if you could find their names you couldn’t easily find contact information. So you were stuck with whatever local adults happened to know. My Dad was very smart, and he had smart work colleagues who could go quite far in some areas of math and physics. What about teachers? Public school teachers were – despite their avowed profession – astonishingly underinformed. (That realization led me to despise them: I did not get along with public school teachers after 3rd or 4th grade when I discovered that, to any random question, I was more likely to have the right answer then they.)

It was a struggle to build a deeper-than-average understanding of the world. I put in a lot of work seeking answers to practical questions, and that gave me a lot of practical knowledge. I certainly had gaps: Pop culture, sports – many obsessions of the average person did not interest me, so I was never going to be a Jeopardy champion. But in the realm of practical and technical knowledge I was exceptional. I read slowly, but have an insatiable thirst for understanding how and why things work. Plenty of people idly wonder. I don’t just wonder: I search. When I had a random question and couldn’t quickly find the answer I would write it down, and eventually I would find an answer and absorb everything around it. Maybe the hunt is why the answers stick in my head.

Now, what search engines started, LLMs have so thoroughly finished that future generations are bound to forget that there was a time when knowing things was not only difficult but also useful.

“Know-it-all” was often thrown around as a pejorative. But, back in the dark ages of the late 20th century, extensive practical knowledge had real utility. It could make the difference between staring blankly at a problem (or not even recognizing the presence of a solvable problem) and jump-starting solutions by drawing on a deep well of understanding how other things work and how they could relate. A know-it-all2 is more likely to:

  • Recognize the absence or presence of a significant problem. (What is that sound, and should I get it looked at?)
  • Flag misleading or false assertions. (Could competitive chess players really burn thousands of calories thinking during a match?)
  • Explain what matters, when, and why. (When do you really need to change engine oil, and should you pay extra for synthetic?)

Even when search engines came along, the human polymath still had value. Answers were more accessible, but you still had to know the right questions. You had to know if a thing was a thing, what terms might apply, and what a correct answer should look like.

Today, it’s over. We have reached the singularity of convenience. This year, as they ironed out the chatbot propensity to hallucinate, the value of the human know-it-all evaporated. Yes, I still catch the bots making factual errors, but if you keep them talking they eventually notice the errors themselves.

I took pride in being the guy to ask, the guy with the notoriously uncanny breadth and depth of knowledge, the guy who – even if he didn’t have the answer off the top of his head – would likely find it faster than anyone else. “Have a practical question? Just ask me. Worst case: I don’t know. More likely: I’ll point you in the right direction.” Now? I tell people to ask the bots. There is no way I can give as quick and thorough an answer on as broad a set of topics as they can.


  1. What was I looking for? Something like a cross between Wikipedia and The Way Things Work. Here’s how I described it in a 1998 journal entry: The Practical Encyclopedia of Technology.  It would contain in applicable form all of mankind’s technological achievements—information I haven’t been able to find elsewhere, like how transmission mechanisms are actually implemented on vehicles, the composition and construction of TFTs, how ball bearings are manufactured.  Every article on a specific piece of technology would be of the following form:
    – Brief theory;
    – References to components (e.g., transmissions would reference ball bearings, metal casting, gears, lubricants);
    – Problems encountered in implementation;
    – Canonical solutions to problems, in sufficient detail to actually implement on that information alone;
    – Other solutions that have been tried, and why they haven’t caught on;
    – References to sources for theory on the subject;
    – Patent Office classification fields of the technology, etc.
    ↩︎
  2. The age of the literal know-it-all – someone who knows everything that is known in a society – ended centuries ago. At least in the developed Western world, that has been impossible since the early 1800s. The title may be hyperbole, but The Last Man Who Knew Everything describes a plausible contender for the title: Thomas Young, who died in 1829. ↩︎

Adobe’s Protection Racket

I just burned more than a day migrating my primary work computer from a machine running Windows 10 to a newer one running Windows 11. Not because I wanted to. Not because Win11 offers me anything I actually want (so far I hate every UI change from Win10). But because Microsoft has decided to end support for Win10 while preventing Win11 from running on older CPUs. And like everyone else whose work requires a secure operating system I’m being shoved along whether I like it or not.

This isn’t a trivial inconvenience. Over the last decade I’ve accumulated a small arsenal of development tools, libraries, and utilities — each with its own quirks, dependencies, and fragile installation paths. Migrating them is not a matter of clicking “Next” on a wizard. It’s a slog of registry tweaks, PATH surgery, license re‑entries, and the occasional ritual sacrifice to the gods of backward compatibility.

And just when I thought I had wrestled Windows 11 into grudging submission, Adobe decided to remind me that they can be even worse.


Adobe’s Perpetual License That Isn’t

I own a perpetual license for Lightroom 6. “Perpetual” is supposed to mean I can use it forever. The software runs fine on Windows 11 … except that Adobe has disabled it.

Adobe included one of the tedious “activation” processes in the Lightroom installation process that depends on their servers telling the software that my license is legitimate. And they have quietly shut down their activation servers, so now when I launch Lightroom 6 in Win11 I have discovered an endless loop of signing in, accepting the license agreement, and then having the software crash. To add insult to injury: Adobe makes no note on their website’s activation page that this process has been disabled for Lightroom 6. I only learned that it would not work after trying repeatedly and then asking Copilot what was happening.

This isn’t a bug. It’s a business model. Adobe has effectively disabled software that would otherwise continue to work. They’ve taken something I paid for outright and retroactively converted it into a hostage situation: either I cough up for their recurring subscription, or I lose access to the tools I already bought and the work I invested in using them to catalog and post-process more than 60,000 photos.

That’s not “end of support.” That’s a protection racket.


Why This Matters

This isn’t just about photography software. It’s about the erosion of implied contracts. We’re told we’re buying licenses, but too late discovering that those licenses can be revoked, crippled, or held hostage at the whim of the vendor. The “perpetual” in perpetual license turns out to mean “until we decide otherwise.”

For engineers, photographers, musicians — anyone who performs their work in specific software — this can be catastrophic.


Imagine you buy a plot of land from a real estate developer and build a house on it. Then one day you come home to find a gaping hole where your house used to sit. Eventually you find the developer and get the following explanation:

Sorry for the confusion: You bought the land, not the location. We moved your house and the land (i.e., the dirt) under its foundation to a new location.

Oh, and that new location is only available for rent. The monthly price? Well, if you have to ask, you’re not going to like it….

Hot and cold running water? Not in Phoenix!

During summer in Phoenix we don’t have luxuries like hot and cold running water. Instead we have hot and hotter water. This photo shows me measuring the “cold” tap’s water emerging at 102°F:

Thermometer showing cold tap water measuring 102°F
“Cold” tap water is 102°F

If you haven’t run water recently you might enjoy a few moments of water as cold as the indoor air. But during summer the water supplied by the city routinely breaks 100°F.

Is this because it spends its time baking in water towers? Surprisingly no: Phoenix stores potable water underground and uses variable-speed pumps to deliver it on demand. And the ground gets really hot: Next photo shows me measuring the temperature of pavement in early afternoon sun at 173°F. (This was with temperature in the shade running 115-120°F.)

Thermometer measuring pavement in direct sun at 173°F
Pavement in summer Phoenix sun measured 173°F

Light Interaction App

Check out this nifty little touch-screen-compatible, WebGL-powered application.

To test out the latest AI, I added GitHub Copilot to VSCode and asked it to build a simple web application that lets the user move three radiant lights (red, green, and blue) around a screen to see how adding colors works. (For example, if the three colors are right on top of each other it looks like a single white light.) Here’s a screenshot of that first app:

By default Copilot uses GPT-4o, but on a few examples I have found that Claude 3.7 Sonnet (another Copilot option) is capable of more sophisticated computer engineering, so with that selected as my Copilot “Agent” I began enhancing this app. The most significant change – and something I’ve wanted to try for a while – was to use WebGL to take advantage of the graphics processing features built into most modern electronics. Thanks to that hardware acceleration, this enhanced app supports lots of light sources, dithering to avoid color banding, and real-time dragging lights around the screen without noticeable lag. Then I added touch-screen support so that the app can be used on mobile devices.

It took some coaching from me to get this working: At several points I observed bugs and Copilot would essentially get stuck in a loop saying, “Oh, I see what’s wrong; this should fix it,” without successfully fixing it. I had to guide the Agent through more intentional debugging methods to resolve several confusing problems. But by the end I hadn’t written or even touched much of the code. I was the designer and tester, and Copilot saved me the trouble of:

  • Scouring API documentation and sites like StackOverflow for code samples needed to make it work.
  • Learning or remembering the exact syntax of the languages involved (WebGL, JavaScript, CSS, HTML).
  • Recreating common GUI tricks, like adding code to make sure that everything is visible on a screen regardless of its size or orientation.
  • Finding and fixing minor bugs.
  • Writing debug code to understand and resolve major problems.

Here’s a screenshot from the final app (shown here with all light inverted – one of the fun features accessible by right-clicking/long-tapping):

SpaceX Falcon 9 Flyby

I glanced out a window last night and saw this brilliant spectacle unfurl as the second stage of a Falcon 9 traversed the sky west of Phoenix at an altitude of 90 miles and ground speed reaching more than 10,000mph:

Since this was shortly after sunset, the exhaust plume was high enough to be illuminated by the sun from over the horizon. (Here’s SpaceX’s video and mission summary.)

Venus with Crescent Moon

Now in the first week of February 2025, Venus is approaching its peak brightness. Here is a picture of it near the waxing crescent moon while at a brightness magnitude of -4.8.

This makes it 23 times as bright as Mars, which had a magnitude of -1.4 in the photos following its lunar eclipse three weeks ago:

Mars emerges from lunar occultation, photo by David Bookstaber 20250113

Venus has almost twice the diameter of Mars (which itself has twice the diameter of the moon), and presently it is also only 75% as far from Earth as is Mars.

Martian Eclipse (Lunar Occultation)

Last night (13 January 2025), North American observers could see the nearly full Moon pass in front of Mars, hiding it for as long as an hour. I got some photos of Mars emerging on the other side:

As noted last week, right now Mars is relatively close to Earth and in nearly full phase, just like the Moon in these pictures, so we are seeing the entire “day” side of Mars. Mars is twice the diameter of the Moon, but presently it is more than 200 times as far from Earth.

Bright Planets: Venus and Mars

Coming into 2025, have you noticed that Venus and Mars are growing quite bright? Looking at a map of planetary positions it’s easy to see why Mars is approaching a point of peak apparent brightness (which it will reach on January 16): it’s on the same side of the sun as we are, so it’s relatively close; and we are aligned to see the full reflection of the sun-lit “day” side.

Inner planet positions on 16 January 2025

With Venus it’s not as easy to figure out when its apparent brightness will be maximized. When Venus is closest to Earth we are looking at its night side, so there’s no reflected light to see. When we can see the full day side of Venus it’s at its furthest from Earth on the other side of the sun, so it’s reflecting the maximum amount of light in our direction, but being so much further away the amount of light that reaches us is lower. In fact Venus goes through “phases” just like our moon does based on its position relative to the Earth and Sun, as shown in this diagram:

Phases of Venus: How much of the “day” side of Venus we can see at different points in its orbit relative to Earth.

Next is another diagram that shows two significant points in the relative orbit of Venus: “Greatest Elongation” is when (from our perspective) the angular distance between Venus and the sun is largest. It turns out that the peak apparent brightness for Venus occurs when it is just inside its points of greatest elongation, with slightly less than half of its day side facing Earth.

Venus is at greatest eastern elongation on January 10, which puts it at its highest point in the evening sky. Its brightness will peak on February 14, at which point it will be more than 20 times brighter than the brightest star we can see (Sirius). This is so bright that it can be seen during broad daylight, if you know where to look.

Alcohol is more efficient than sugar

Centuries ago, when bulk transportation was expensive and raw foods were at risk of loss to spoilage or pests, distant farmers might prefer to convert sugar-bearing grain and fruit into ethanol, distill it to concentrate it, and transport that concentrate to distant markets. (This fact was a primary cause of the Whiskey Rebellion in response to the imposition of a tax on distilled alcohol.)

I was surprised at how much more efficient ethanol is as a source of energy, even though energy is lost through fermentation! The chemical equation for fermentation of sugar (glucose chosen here) is:

C₆H₁₂O₆ (glucose) → 2C₂H₅OH (ethanol) + 2CO₂ (carbon dioxide) + Energy

Considered by weight: For every kilo of glucose fermented, we get half a kilo of ethanol and 300 calories of heat (which is typically wasted). But ethanol is more energy dense than sugar: Humans extract 3700 calories per kilo of glucose but 7000 calories per kilo of ethanol! I.e., the metabolic energy available in a kilo of sugar is mostly preserved when converted to alcohol, but its weight is cut in half.